Orioles Could Solve Yankees' Pitching Crisis — But For 'Tax'
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Home News Devin Williams

Yankees-Orioles trade could happen — if Cashman swallows ‘tax’

Sara Molnick by Sara Molnick
July 16, 2025 at 12:28 pm EDT
in Devin Williams, Fernando Cruz, Luke Weaver, Mark Leiter Jr, News
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The New York Yankees are staring at a pitching crisis. With injuries hitting key assets, the cracks are widening beneath what was once the league’s most dependable relief corps. There’s help out there — close, familiar, and talented — but geography and history come at a premium.

The Yankees’ relief corps has been decimated by injuries at the worst possible time. Fernando Cruz’s high-grade oblique strain will sideline him until September, while Jake Cousins underwent Tommy John surgery and won’t return until 2026. Mark Leiter Jr suffered a rare fracture. Ryan Yarbrough and Yerry De los Santos also occupy IL spots, leaving the Yankees with minimal depth behind closer Devin Williams and setup man Luke Weaver.

The numbers paint a stark picture of need. Tim Hill remains the only healthy left-handed reliever in the Yankees’ bullpen, creating a massive platoon disadvantage in high-leverage situations.

General Manager Brian Cashman has explicitly stated his aggressive deadline approach: “We’re going to go to town. We’re going to do everything we possibly can to improve ourselves.”

The Orioles, meanwhile, have signaled their willingness to deal after GM Mike Elias acknowledged they’ve “dug a hole” and face odds “stacked against us.”

Baltimore, loaded with controllable bullpen arms and a deep farm system, could offer the perfect fix. But there’s a catch — and it’s one Yankees fans have heard before.

SNY’s Andy Martino it bluntly:

“But the Yanks have long been skeptical that Baltimore would ever give them a fair deal; it’s known around these parts as the “Yankee Tax.”

And with the Orioles reportedly open to selling some controllable relievers, the Bronx Bombers could be staring at a deal that helps them short-term — if they’re willing to meet the markup.

New York Yankees pitcher Luke Weaver reacts as Baltimore Orioles’ Ramón Urías runs the bases after hitting a home run during the eighth inning of a baseball game Friday, June 20, 2025, in New York.
AP Photo/Frank Franklin II

Baltimore’s bullpen is overflowing with options

The Orioles, despite recent struggles, have quietly assembled one of the best pipelines of relief arms in the American League. Seranthony Dominguez emerges as the crown jewel, posting a 3.29 ERA across 38.1 innings with an elite 33% strikeout rate. The former Phillies closer has been dominant since June 1st, allowing zero earned runs in 11 appearances while showcasing a devastating three-pitch mix anchored by a 98-mph fastball.

Gregory Soto provides the left-handed specialist role the Yankees desperately need. The two-time All-Star has rebounded from early struggles to post a 3.74 ERA with 18 holds, leading the Orioles in high-leverage appearances. His 97-mph fastball from the left side addresses both velocity and platoon concerns that have plagued the Yankees’ bullpen construction.

Andrew Kittredge rounds out the primary targets as a veteran presence with a 4.01 ERA in 24 games since returning from injury. The 2021 All-Star offers multiple-inning capability and October experience, exactly what championship contenders crave in deadline acquisitions.

“The O’s are said to be ready or near ready to talk seriously about relievers like Andrew Kittredge, Seranthony Dominguez, and Gregory Soto … as well as righty Seranthony Dominguez and lefty Gregory Soto,” Martino explained. “Rivals do not believe that Baltimore will trade closer Felix Bautista. All of these pitchers, along with starter Tomoyuki Sugano and the returning Zach Eflin, would help fill the Yankees’ needs, too.”

Dominguez’s 15% swinging strike rate ranks in the top 30 among MLB relievers, while his improved splitter has generated a 64.3% whiff rate that would immediately upgrade the Yankees’ strikeout ability. His situational splits show dominance against both left-handed (.186 OPS) and right-handed (.203 OPS) batters.

Soto’s numbers reveal why the Yankees covet left-handed power arms. His 28% strikeout rate and 97-mph average velocity create the perfect complement to their ground-ball heavy approach. While his 10.3% walk rate raises mild concerns, his ability to generate swings and misses addresses the Yankees’ most pressing need.

Dominguez’s $8 million salary and Soto’s $5.35 million figure represent manageable luxury tax hits for a championship-contending team.

But any of them — especially within the division — would cost more if the pinstripes come calling.

The ‘Yankee Tax’ still governs intra-division deals

While the idea of a Yankees–Orioles trade might raise eyebrows, history shows it’s not off the table. In 2018, New York and Baltimore linked up on the Zack Britton deal. But that took a premium package (Prospect no. 9 Dillon Tate, Josh Rogers, and prospect no. 15 Cody Carroll), and Britton was a rental.

Today, the situation is more complicated. These Orioles relievers aren’t rentals — they’re cost-controlled through at least 2026. That puts Baltimore in the driver’s seat, and the Yankees in a familiar bind.

As reported, the “Yankee tax” inflates prices anytime the Bronx Bombers try to negotiate with division rivals. The Orioles would prefer to trade outside the East — or if they deal in-division, they’ll want significantly more than fair value.

“Baltimore has pieces the Yankees crave, but they’ll absolutely charge them double if they have to deal within the division,” one AL scout said to Pinstripesnation.com.

New York’s farm system remains robust, but they’re unwilling to trade top names like Chase Hampton or George Lombard Jr. for a reliever. That leaves mid-tier prospects on the table — but that won’t be enough for a division rival like Baltimore.

Yankees general manager Brian Cashman
MLB

A trade is possible — if Yankees pride gets out of the way

Baltimore may be reluctant, but they’re not outright refusing. They’ve already shown a willingness to move pieces if the return helps their long-term flexibility — especially if they feel their own playoff push is stalling.

This isn’t just about talent. It’s about ego, narrative, and market dynamics.

The Yankees are one of the few clubs that can afford to absorb the “tax.” But whether they’re willing to pay it — and risk boosting a division rival’s future while trying to fix their present — is the real question.

Would Baltimore really send a top reliever to the Bronx and risk watching that arm shut them down in a September showdown at Camden Yards? Probably not — unless they’re floored by the return.

Clock ticking toward the deadline

As July 31 approaches, the Yankees’ urgency is growing. Offensively, Aaron Judge and Cody Bellinger are carrying the load. But without bullpen help, the Yankees risk overworking starters and repeating 2023’s second-half collapse.

Baltimore holds a card the Yankees want. The question is whether New York has the will — and the assets — to call the bluff. Dominguez and Soto represent the perfect combination of impact and affordability for a Yankees team balancing championship aspirations with luxury tax constraints.

“This is when you find out how badly the Yankees want to win this year,” a rival executive said. “If you think you’ve got a championship window, then you pay the price — even to Baltimore.”

The convergence of Yankees’ desperate bullpen needs, Orioles’ selling position, and available talent creates optimal conditions for significant trades.

The Yankees have the prospects. The Orioles have the arms. A deal could reshape both clubs’ futures — for better or worse. But until the “Yankee tax” is removed, New York’s bullpen fix might remain just out of reach, held hostage by pride and pinstripes.

What do you think? Leave your comment below.

Tags: New York YankeesAL East rivalsBrian Cashmanbullpen trade targetsfernando cruzjake cousinsluke weaverMark Leiter JrMLB newsMLB trade deadlineMLB trade rumorsOrioles bullpenOrioles relieversYankee taxYankees bullpenYankees Orioles tradeYankees pitching needsYankees relief pitchingYankees trade rumors
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Sara Molnick

Sara Molnick

A digital technocrat-turned-baseball buff, Sara is an ardent follower of the New York Yankees. Born and brought up in New York City, she is a regular to games since she was a kid. Despite working as media strategist, baseball is her first love. She has been covering baseball games in the city as well as MLB and MiLB games involving the Yankees, the Mets, and their minor affiliates as a freelancer for different web and media publications. She works as a lead author for the Yankees-centered PinstripesNation since its very inception.

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