Homer No. 60 for Aaron Judge at Yankee Stadium, finds latest projection

Wednesday September 14, 2022

Aaron Judge is going after Roger Maris’ home-run record and fans at Yankee Stadium have a chance to witness a historic moment in his chase for a record homer haul. The latest projection has zeroed on the New York ballpark as the possible venue for Judge’s 60th home run.

During Tuesday’s game against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park, the outfielder for the New York Yankees hit two solo home runs, helping his team to a 7-6 victory. Judge is currently in first place in the majors with 57 home runs, and the Yankees still have 20 games left in the regular season. This makes him well placed to make a new home-run record.

Check out what the projections are saying.

Ben Clemens of FanGraphs has developed a chart of odds that forecast when Judge will hit his 60th, 61st, and 62nd home runs. The latest projection based on this analysis forecasts places where Judge can hit his historic home runs. It says:

“There’s an aggregate 45% chance he’ll hit 60 during the next Yankees homestand, and that’s assuming he gets a rest day in one of those six contests … If you want to see number 61, there’s a near-tie between two series: the Boston series from September 22-25 and the Toronto series from September 26-28 … Finally, if you want to see Judge become the first American League player to hit 62, you guessed it, it’s time to pack your bags and passport and head to Toronto.“

Earlier predictions by Clemens hint that the slugger is more likely to hit his record-breaking no. 62 home run against the Blue Jays in Toronto.

Aaron Judge 62nd Home Run Odds

Day	Opponent	Home/Away	Odds of Hitting 62nd HR
9/13	Boston	Away	0.0%
9/14	Boston	Away	0.0%
9/16	Milwaukee	Away	0.0%
9/17	Milwaukee	Away	0.0%
9/18	Milwaukee	Away	0.1%
9/20	Pittsburgh	Home	0.3%
9/21	Pittsburgh	Home	0.7%
9/22	Boston	Home	1.2%
9/23	Boston	Home	1.8%
9/24	Boston	Home	0% (rest day)
9/25	Boston	Home	2.6%
9/26	Toronto	Away	3.8%
9/27	Toronto	Away	4.7%
9/28	Toronto	Away	5.5%
9/30	Baltimore	Home	5.5%
10/1	Baltimore	Home	5.7%
10/2	Baltimore	Home	5.9%
10/3	Texas	Away	4.9%
10/4	Texas	Away	4.9%
10/4 (DH) Texas	Away	4.7%
10/5	Texas	Away	4.6%

In the event that you are interested in going to see Judge hit a home run during what is shaping up to be a historic season, the following is the remaining schedule for the Yankees:

Date	Opponent	Stadium
9/13-14	Boston Red Sox	Fenway Park
9/16-18	Milwaukee Brewers	American Family Field
9/20-21	Pittsburgh Pirates	Yankee Stadium
9/22-25	Boston Red Sox	Yankee Stadium
9/26 -28	Toronto Blue Jays	Rogers Center
9/30-10/2	Baltimore Orioles	Yankee Stadium
10/3-5	Texas Rangers	Choctaw Stadium/ Globe Life Park