Aaron Judge to hit No. 62 at Toronto, claims latest prediction

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Aaron Judge is set to rewrite the AL home-run history this season.  The latest prediction claims the New York Yankees’ slugger has a more chance of hitting No. 62 in Toronto.

The California-born player is in amazing form this season. After he hit his 50th homer in August, analysts started seeing him going for a record home-run haul in 2022. Since then fans are desperate want to know when Judge will hit No. 60, No. 61, and No. 62 homers and against which team.

After his home run No. 55, Ben Clemens of FanGraphs has developed a homer chart that shows the odds of Judge hitting his 60th home run. It gives him the best chance in Toronto, where the Yankees are set to play the Blue Jays on September 26, 27, and 28. It also predicts that the No. 61 and No. 62 homers have more chances at Rogers Center

The latest prediction also reminds us that Judge has the second-best chance of hitting No. 60 in the last game of the series when Yankee Stadium hosts the Red Sox next week.

If Judge slows down at Fenway Park and in New York, he has to wait for the series against the Orioles at Baltimore in October to surpass Roger Maris’ 61-homer record.

As the action shifts to Boston, the Red Sox have a task to top Judge. But possibilities are more that he will reach 6o-mark before Toronto and break the record against the Blue Jays. 

On his blog page, Ben Clemens wrote, “If you’re trying to see Judge’s 60th homer in person, should you still head north to Toronto? Indeed you should … The second-best series has changed, though. If you want to catch number 60 and can’t travel to Canada, your best bet is to buy tickets to Yankee Stadium for the subsequent series against the Orioles … If you’re headed to that series against the Orioles … you also stand a 17.1% chance of seeing an AL-record 62nd homer. But that series isn’t your best chance to see that particular milestone. Despite a solid Texas pitching staff and a tough ballpark for home runs, that series has one very obvious thing going for it: an extra game.”

Aaron Judge 60th Home Run Odds

Day Opponent Home/Away Odds of Hitting 60th HR
9/13 Boston Away 0.0%
9/14 Boston Away 0.0%
9/16 Milwaukee Away 0.3%
9/17 Milwaukee Away 1.0%
9/18 Milwaukee Away 2.2%
9/20 Pittsburgh Home 3.1%
9/21 Pittsburgh Home 4.2%
9/22 Boston Home 5.4%
9/23 Boston Home 6.3%
9/24 Boston Home 0% (rest day)
9/25 Boston Home 6.9%
9/26 Toronto Away 8.1%
9/27 Toronto Away 8.0%
9/28 Toronto Away 7.8%
9/30 Baltimore Home 6.5%
10/1 Baltimore Home 6.0%
10/2 Baltimore Home 5.4%
10/3 Texas Away 3.9%
10/4 Texas Away 3.5%
10/4 (DH) Texas Away 3.1%
10/5 Texas Away 2.7%

Aaron Judge 61st Home Run Odds

Day Opponent Home/Away Odds of Hitting 61st HR
9/13 Boston Away 0.0%
9/14 Boston Away 0.0%
9/16 Milwaukee Away 0.0%
9/17 Milwaukee Away 0.2%
9/18 Milwaukee Away 0.6%
9/20 Pittsburgh Home 1.1%
9/21 Pittsburgh Home 1.9%
9/22 Boston Home 2.8%
9/23 Boston Home 3.8%
9/24 Boston Home 0% (rest day)
9/25 Boston Home 4.6%
9/26 Toronto Away 6.1%
9/27 Toronto Away 6.8%
9/28 Toronto Away 7.2%
9/30 Baltimore Home 6.6%
10/1 Baltimore Home 6.4%
10/2 Baltimore Home 6.2%
10/3 Texas Away 4.8%
10/4 Texas Away 4.5%
10/4 (DH) Texas Away 4.2%
10/5 Texas Away 3.8%

Aaron Judge 62nd Home Run Odds

Day

Opponent

      Home/Away

Odds of Hitting 62nd HR

9/13

Boston

Away

0.0%

9/14

Boston

Away

0.0%

9/16

Milwaukee

Away

0.0%

9/17

Milwaukee

Away

0.0%

9/18

Milwaukee

Away

0.1%

9/20

Pittsburgh

Home

0.3%

9/21

Pittsburgh

Home

0.7%

9/22

Boston

Home

1.2%

9/23

Boston

Home

1.8%

9/24

Boston

Home

0% (rest day)

9/25

Boston

Home

2.6%

9/26

Toronto

Away

3.8%

9/27

Toronto

Away

4.7%

9/28

Toronto

Away

5.5%

9/30

Baltimore

Home

5.5%

10/1

Baltimore

Home

5.7%

10/2

Baltimore

Home

5.9%

10/3

Texas

Away

4.9%

10/4

Texas

Away

4.9%

10/4 (DH) Texas

    Away

4.7%

 

10/5

Texas

Away

4.6%

 

Judge has hit 55 home runs so far. If you want to see Judge hit a home run during what is likely to be a historic season, here is the Yankees‘ remaining schedule:

Date        

Opponent       

 

Stadium

 

9/13-14

Boston Red Sox

Fenway Park

9/16-18

Milwaukee Brewers

American Family Field

9/20-21

Pittsburgh Pirates

Yankee Stadium

9/22-25

Boston Red Sox

Yankee Stadium

9/26 -28

Toronto Blue Jays

Rogers Center

9/30-10/2

Baltimore Orioles

Yankee Stadium

10/3-5

Texas Rangers

Choctaw Stadium/ Globe Life Park

Do you agree with it? Will Aaron Judge get his record in Toronto? Or, do you expect it to happen before? Leave your comment.

(Source: Ben Clemens of FanGraphs)

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