Aaron Judge Poised To Equal Rare MLB Record After 24 Years
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Home News Aaron Judge

Aaron Judge set to join MLB’s historic three-elite club in 2025

Esteban Quiñones by Esteban Quiñones
February 4, 2025
in Aaron Judge, Babe Ruth, News
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In the storied annals of baseball history, few players have demonstrated the consistent offensive dominance that Aaron Judge has exhibited throughout his career with the New York Yankees. As the 2025 season approaches, Judge finds himself positioned to achieve several historic milestones that could elevate his status among baseball’s most legendary power hitters.

Recent analysis from Sarah Langs of MLB.com highlights several significant statistical thresholds within Judge’s reach, achievements that would place him alongside some of the most revered names in baseball history. These potential accomplishments underscore Judge’s sustained excellence and his impact on the modern game.

Judge’s pursuit of home run history

Aaron Judge hits a sacrifice fly of Cade Smith to give the Yankees an early 3-0 lead over the Guardians in Game 2 of the ALCS, on Oct 16, 2024
AP

Since his remarkable rookie campaign in 2017, when he launched 52 home runs, Judge has established himself as baseball’s premier power threat. Steamer projections for the 2025 season forecast 46 home runs and a 170 wRC+, numbers that would place Judge in the rarefied historical company.

According to Langs’ research, reaching 45 home runs in 2025 would make Judge just the eleventh player in MLB history to achieve this milestone in four different seasons. This accomplishment would affirm his place among baseball’s elite power hitters and highlight the consistency of his offensive production.

Even more remarkable is Judge’s opportunity to join an exceptionally exclusive group. Should he maintain a 170 wRC+ while hitting at least 35 home runs, he would become only the third player in baseball history to accomplish this feat in four consecutive seasons, joining Barry Bonds and Babe Ruth—a testament to his combination of power and overall offensive excellence.

Judge’s three seasons with 50 or more home runs already place him in distinguished company. Another season at this threshold would tie him with Sammy Sosa, Mark McGwire, and Babe Ruth for the most 50-homer seasons in MLB history. Babe Ruth pioneered baseball’s exclusive 50-homer club with four such seasons (1920, 1921, 1927, 1928). His mark stood alone until the late 1990s when Mark McGwire and Sammy Sosa joined this elite group, each achieving their fourth 50-homer season in 1999 and 2001 respectively.

Notably, Judge has never finished a season with between 40 and 50 home runs—when he reaches 40, he has consistently pushed beyond to surpass 50, demonstrating his capability to maintain elite production throughout a full season.

Building on 2024’s MVP campaign

New York Yankees’ Aaron Judge holds the American League Championship trophy after Game 5 of the baseball AL Championship Series against the Cleveland Guardians Sunday, Oct. 20, 2024, in Cleveland. The Yankees won 5-2 to advance to the World Series.
AP Photo/Jeff Roberson

The Yankees’ decision to make Judge the cornerstone of their franchise with a nine-year, $360 million contract before the 2023 season has been thoroughly vindicated by his continued excellence. His 2024 performance silenced any skeptics, producing an extraordinary statistical line:

  • .322 batting average
  • .458 on-base percentage
  • 1.159 OPS
  • 58 home runs
  • 144 RBIs
  • 10.8 WAR

These league-leading figures earned Judge his second MVP award in three years and his fourth consecutive All-Star selection. His individual brilliance proved especially crucial for a Yankees lineup that faced significant challenges throughout the season.

Yankees’ strategic roster enhancement

Despite losing Juan Soto to the Mets in free agency, the Yankees have aggressively reinforced their roster to maintain their competitive position in the American League. Key acquisitions include:

  • Cody Bellinger: A dynamic outfielder with power potential and defensive excellence
  • Devin Williams: An elite closer acquired to succeed Clay Holmes
  • Max Fried: A front-line starter partnering with Gerrit Cole
  • Paul Goldschmidt: A former MVP adding depth to the lineup
  • Jonathan Loáisiga: A crucial bullpen piece retained for stability

These moves reflect the organization’s commitment to maximizing its championship window with Judge as its centerpiece.

Evaluating Judge’s Long-term Outlook

Captain Aaron Judge celebrates as the New York Yankees defeat the Baltimore Orioles to win the AL East title at Yankee Stadium on Sept. 26, 2024.
NYY

At 32, Judge remains in his physical prime, though his unique physical attributes—standing 6-foot-7 and weighing 282 pounds—prompt natural discussions about long-term durability. Despite occasional injury concerns in previous seasons, Judge has consistently produced elite numbers when healthy. His approach at the plate, combining exceptional power with disciplined pitch selection, suggests continued success is likely as long as he maintains his health.

Historical context and future implications

Judge’s importance to the Yankees extends beyond his statistical production. As team captain, he sets the organizational standard for professionalism and competitive drive. His influence in the clubhouse and dedication to excellence make him the franchise’s unquestioned leader as they pursue their first World Series championship since 2009.

As he approaches these significant milestones, his accomplishments merit consideration within baseball’s broader historical context. The potential to:

  • Join the elite group of players with four 45+ home run seasons
  • Match Bonds and Ruth with four consecutive seasons of 35+ homers and 170+ wRC+
  • Equal Ruth, McGwire, and Sosa’s record for 50-homer seasons

These achievements would cement Judge’s legacy among baseball’s greatest power hitters while demonstrating the remarkable consistency of his offensive production.

The 2025 season presents an opportunity for Judge to further distinguish himself in baseball’s record books. His pursuit of these milestones, combined with the Yankees’ championship aspirations, promises to make the upcoming season a compelling chapter in both his career and baseball history.

What do you think? Leave your comment below.

Tags: aaron judgeBabe RuthMLB record
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