Yankees strive to break series tie (1-1) against Marlins in Sunday showdown

Harrison Bader from the Yankees as he faces off against the Miami Marlins on Friday, August 11th

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Yankees fans are in for an exciting clash as the New York Yankees (60-57) and the Miami Marlins (61-57) gear up for a pivotal Sunday matchup at 1:40 PM ET. With the series tied 1-1, both teams are vying to claim the upper hand in this crucial encounter at LoanDepot Park.

In their initial match, the Yankees clinched victory with an impressive 9-4 score. However, come Saturday afternoon, they encountered an unexpected turn of events, suffering a 3-1 defeat at the hands of the Marlins.

As the two teams prepare to lock horns, let’s delve into their recent performances, probable pitchers, relief pitchers, and hitting trends to provide a comprehensive preview of this game.

Are the Yankees the favorites?

The Yankees have been a dominant force this season, entering the game as favorites 74 times and clinching victory in 56.8% of those instances. With a record of 35-20 when favored by -128 or more, the Yankees have showcased their prowess as frontrunners. The bookmakers’ odds suggest a 56.1% chance of a Yankees win, underscoring their status as favorites.

In terms of total runs, the Yankees have often been involved in high-scoring games, going over the total in 52 out of their 117 chances. Their Against The Spread (ATS) record for the season stands at 59-58-0 in games with a spread. Despite a 5-5 record in their last ten games, the Yankees have maintained a solid average of 4.4 runs per game, hitting 15 home runs and maintaining an ERA of 4.45.

Marlins set as the underdogs

The Marlins, though considered underdogs, have demonstrated resilience throughout the season. They’ve emerged victorious in 44.1% of the 59 contests where they were odds-on underdogs.

In terms of run production, the Marlins have averaged 3.8 runs per game in their last ten outings. They’ve hit 15 home runs, while their ERA stands at 5.06. Despite these challenges, they maintain a strong strikeout rate of 10.9 K/9. Like the Yankees, the Marlins have often seen games go over the total, with 53 out of 118 games surpassing the sportsbooks’ set total.

Probable Pitchers: Cole vs. Perez

Gerrit Cole in action for the New York Yankees.
Paul Rutherford / USA TODAY Sports

Gerrit Cole will take the mound for the Yankees, boasting a 13-11-0 ATS record in his starts this season. Cole’s consistency is evident from his streak of seven starts of five innings or more. Impressively, he has completed five starts without allowing an earned run. The Yankees have a solid 16-6 record this season when Cole starts, and they are the favorites.

Eury Perez will counter for the Marlins, with a 5-4 record, a 2.79 ERA, and 68 strikeouts through 58 2/3 innings pitched. While his most recent outing wasn’t flawless, Perez has demonstrated the ability to collect quality starts. The Marlins’ record is 2-2 in Perez’s starts when they were underdogs according to the bookmakers.

Relief pitchers

Aug 12, 2023; Miami, Florida, USA; New York Yankees relief pitcher Michael King (34) throws a pitch against the Miami Marlins during the first inning at loanDepot Park.
USA Today Sports

The Yankees’ bullpen features notable contributors like Wandy Peralta, Clay Holmes, Keynan Middleton, Albert Abreu, and Michael King. Their collective efforts have played a crucial role in the team’s success this season.

The Marlins, on the other hand, have their arsenal of relief pitchers, including Tanner Scott, David Robertson, Huascar Brazoban, Steven Okert, and Andrew Nardi. These pitchers will play a significant role in determining the outcome of the game, as both teams look to maintain or improve their positions.

Hitting trends

The Yankees’ hitting prowess shines through in various trends. They boast a remarkable 48-15 record in games with at least two home runs and are 45-13 when scoring five or more runs. Additionally, their ability to draw walks has contributed to a 21-14 record over 35 games where they’ve secured at least five walks.

The Marlins, although facing challenges have managed to win 41 out of 53 games in which they scored more than four runs. Their performance in games with five or more extra-base hits is equally impressive, having secured 19 wins out of 21 such games.

As the New York Yankees and Miami Marlins prepare to face off on Sunday, the stakes are high. Both teams possess unique strengths and challenges, and the outcome of this game could significantly impact their respective standings. With Gerrit Cole and Eury Perez taking the mound, and their bullpen arms ready for action, the stage is set for a thrilling battle. Whether the favored Yankees or the determined Marlins come out on top, the Pinstripes Nation can expect a memorable showdown at LoanDepot Park.

What do you think? Leave your comment below.

One thought on “Yankees strive to break series tie (1-1) against Marlins in Sunday showdown

  1. They suck, they sick, they suck. Blow a 4 run lead. Lose 8-7 in 9th. I am through with them this year. I hope they move the whole team and management. Dump them all in the ocean.

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