Don’t be ‘reckless’ to sign Juan Soto for 15 years, host warns Yankees of long-term ‘holes’

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Juan Soto‘s free agency discussions are heating up, with key meetings scheduled in California with several interested teams, including the Blue Jays, Red Sox, Mets, and Yankees, sources say.

Financial analysts predict that Soto’s contract could surpass $600 million, but sports commentator Brandon Tierney recently voiced caution on his broadcast, expressing particular concerns about the length of a potential Yankees deal. Tierney stressed that while he supports Soto’s value in terms of average annual salary, he views a 15-year commitment as risky, cautioning against a repeat of lengthy contracts that have sometimes backfired.

“I’m not giving him 15 years. There’s no way,” he said. “There just has to be an end to this cycle of bad contracts and overlapping. He’s not worth 15 years. He’s a great two-tool player. He can hit for average and power. He can’t run and can’t field. Why am I giving him 15 years? That’s my way of saying I don’t need Soto at any cost. That’s my line of delineation. You guys can have him for 15 or 14 [years]. Hell, I don’t know if I even want him for 13.”

He expressed concerns about deals surpassing 12 years and suggested that even 13 years might be excessive.

Tierney pointed to the Yankees’ existing roster commitments, highlighting potential challenges created by overlapping long-term deals. He specifically mentioned Aaron Judge, noting the impact of Judge’s age, physical demands, and current defensive role on the team’s future flexibility.

Reflecting on Soto’s offensive contributions in 2024—including a standout home run in the ALCS—Tierney argued that a lengthy contract for Soto could hamper the Yankees’ ability to address other essential needs. He advocated for a more balanced approach to roster building, even if it meant passing on Soto.

Tierney highlighted Soto’s strengths in power and hitting consistency while suggesting that baserunning and defense might be weaker areas for the star outfielder. Some baseball analysts have questioned Soto’s Gold Glove finalist recognition in 2024, pointing to defensive lapses, including a costly misplay in Game 1 of the World Series. Observers draw comparisons to Giancarlo Stanton’s shift toward a designated hitter role with the Yankees, suggesting Soto might follow a similar path in his later years, potentially affecting his overall long-term value. Still, Soto’s offensive performance remains highly prized, often mitigating defensive concerns.

“I just don’t think the Yankees need to be reckless here,” he added said. “I want him…but there are other holes…they don’t run the bases, and they don’t catch the ball. And Juan Soto doesn’t enhance that.”

Commentator Brandon Tierney recently outlined his stance on Juan Soto’s potential contract, cautioning against overly long commitments for the Yankees.

Tierney emphasized the need for the Yankees to remain fiscally disciplined, observing that while Soto would be a valuable addition, the team still has critical areas needing improvement, such as baserunning and defense—areas where Soto’s presence might not provide direct benefits.

Juan Soto suitors and their position in the race

Juan Soto heads into free agency with a standout seven-year MLB record, featuring four All-Star selections, two major trades, two World Series appearances, and a batting title. Baseball experts predict that his free agency will be a focal point of the offseason, as clubs consider his exceptional resume and future potential.

Early attention centers on a possible showdown between the New York Yankees and Mets, though insiders suggest the market for Soto could broaden significantly. With Soto’s unique blend of youth and proven skill, many ownership groups are expected to consider sizable offers, potentially nearing $600 million. Analysts note that at just 26 years old, even a 14-year contract would keep Soto under 40 by its conclusion, making him a valuable asset for contenders like the Los Angeles Dodgers as well as rebuilding teams such as the Chicago White Sox.

Market projections identify nine top organizations likely to pursue Soto, with evaluations focusing on two main factors: Soto’s immediate impact on each team’s 2024 lineup and his long-term fit within their strategic core. Each contender’s prospects for landing Soto will be examined in alphabetical order to give a thorough overview of his market.

Boston Red Sox

Analysts believe Juan Soto joining the Red Sox could energize the storied Yankees-Red Sox rivalry and restore fan confidence in John Henry’s ownership, which has faced criticism for recent financial restraint.

Fenway Park’s favorable design for left-handed hitters, ranking second in Statcast metrics, could amplify Soto’s all-fields hitting style, though adding another lefty bat might skew Boston’s lineup further. The team’s core, locked up through 2027, already includes left-handed players like Rafael Devers, Jarren Duran, Triston Casas, and Wilyer Abreu, alongside righty Trevor Story. Fenway’s compact left field may also lessen concerns over Soto’s defense, and the open designated hitter spot allows for future lineup flexibility.

Despite the strategic fit, insiders view Boston as a secondary player in the Soto market. This cautious outlook stems from Boston’s recent conservative spending and other roster needs. Executives acknowledge Soto’s appeal but predict the Red Sox may focus on alternative roster improvements rather than the massive investment Soto would demand.

Chicago Cubs

Financial analysts highlight the Chicago Cubs’ historical approach to spending, noting their largest free-agent commitment remains Jason Heyward’s $184 million deal, with the highest annual payout recently directed to Cody Bellinger. However, industry experts emphasize Soto’s exceptional blend of talent and youth as an opportunity that could prompt a departure from past spending norms.

The Cubs’ pursuit of Soto faces recent hurdles, especially after Bellinger opted into his 2025 contract. This creates two key issues: a $27.5 million hit to the 2024 payroll, with another $25 million in 2025, and potential outfield congestion. With Bellinger, Ian Happ, and Seiya Suzuki currently occupying starting roles, Soto’s addition would likely necessitate some lineup reconfiguration.

Despite these logistical challenges, analysts stress the strategic allure of a Soto acquisition. The Cubs’ manageable long-term payroll and depth at Triple-A make Soto a viable investment for sustained competitiveness. Experts suggest his signing would signal the Cubs’ intent to build a powerhouse in the National League Central, underscoring a willingness to back that goal with significant financial commitment.

Los Angeles Dodgers

Baseball analysts note that the Los Angeles Dodgers, fresh off securing a World Series title, have a prime opportunity to build on their success in an era of competitive balance. Despite holding the league’s third-highest payroll, financial experts believe the acquisition of Juan Soto is still feasible, largely due to the financial flexibility provided by deferred payments in Shohei Ohtani’s contract, which lowers the annual payroll burden by $68 million.

Roster analysis shows that the timing for Soto’s potential addition is favorable, with Teoscar Hernández hitting free agency and Mookie Betts slated for a position shift to the infield, opening two outfield spots. Industry observers suggest the possibility of a historic lineup that could feature Ohtani, Betts, Soto, and Freddie Freeman, which could lay the foundation for a sustained dynasty.

The Dodgers’ long-term commitments already extend through several years, with Betts locked in through 2032, Ohtani and Will Smith through 2033, and Yoshinobu Yamamoto through 2035. Experts argue that pairing Soto with the Dodgers’ renowned player development system would not only deepen the roster but also extend their competitive window into the next decade.

New York Mets

Industry observers recall Scott Boras’s memorable comparison of Mets owner Steve Cohen to King Kong climbing the Empire State Building, made two years ago during the team’s aggressive free-agent push. Analysts suggest the current market offers another prime chance for Cohen to flex his financial muscle, especially with meetings scheduled between the Mets and Juan Soto this week.

Baseball experts point to the Mets’ surprising NLCS run, noting their roster flexibility and Cohen’s willingness to pursue top-tier talent. The team’s foundation includes Francisco Lindor, under contract through 2031, who was a 2024 MVP candidate, as well as core players like Mark Vientos, Brandon Nimmo, and Francisco Alvarez. Highly-regarded prospects Jett Williams and Drew Gilbert are also nearing major league readiness.

Roster analysts see multiple potential spots for Soto, with both right field and designated hitter offering viable options. Industry insiders agree that Soto would be an ideal fit for the Mets, and financial experts emphasize Cohen’s unique position among MLB owners, suggesting his resources could be pivotal in securing Soto’s services amid any bidding war.

New York Yankees

Baseball analysts note that while the Yankees’ spending strategies have shifted from their previous “unlimited” approach, the potential pairing of Juan Soto with Aaron Judge offers a path to renewed dominance in the Bronx. Observers highlight Soto’s seamless adaptation to New York, including his defensive improvements in the tight confines of Yankee Stadium’s right field.

Statistical analysis shows an interesting dynamic in Soto’s hitting approach. While his all-fields style didn’t fully capitalize on the short right-field porch, evaluators still contend that the ballpark’s overall design complements his batting. Sources point to Soto’s positive experience in New York, referencing his emotional remarks after the World Series about the importance of the team and the unique nature of his season there.

Experts agree that securing Soto should be a priority for the Yankees as they aim to break their World Series championship drought. Analysts stress that losing Soto would leave a significant gap in the 2024 lineup, underlining his crucial offensive role for the team.

Philadelphia Phillies

Baseball analysts note that despite a playoff exit, the Phillies boast one of the most balanced rosters in the league. Recent remarks from ownership, particularly from John Middleton regarding continued luxury tax investments, have generated increased interest. Sources suggest that Middleton is prepared to exceed the $281 million third-tier threshold to secure exceptional talent, with team president Dave Dombrowski emphasizing outfield upgrades as a key priority.

Industry experts view Juan Soto as a perfect fit for Philadelphia’s needs, potentially adding another potent bat to their already powerful lineup. However, roster analysts point out logistical hurdles, including the defensive limitations of players like Nick Castellanos and Kyle Schwarber, as well as the limited availability of designated hitter spots.

Baseball insiders also note Soto’s existing ties to the Phillies, including connections with Schwarber, Trea Turner, Bryce Harper, and hitting coach Kevin Long. While these complexities make Philadelphia an unlikely destination, observers highlight Dombrowski’s track record of successfully executing bold acquisitions of star talent.

San Francisco Giants

Baseball analysts observe that Farhan Zaidi’s tenure with the San Francisco Giants has been marked by near-misses in the pursuit of high-profile free agents such as Bryce Harper, Aaron Judge, Carlos Correa, Shohei Ohtani, and Yoshinobu Yamamoto. Industry observers suggest that with leadership from Buster Posey, the team could reverse its fortunes, but it will require a strong commitment to resources this offseason.

Recent moves, including Matt Chapman’s extension following his short-term contract, suggest a shift in the organization’s strategy. Sources indicate Posey may be motivated to bring in the franchise’s most impactful hitter since the Barry Bonds era.

Statistical analysis highlights Soto’s impressive numbers at San Francisco’s ballpark, where he boasts a .325 batting average, seven home runs, and a 1.050 OPS over 22 games. Roster analysts foresee Soto potentially teaming with center fielder Jung Hoo Lee in the outfield or filling a designated hitter role, with an eye toward creating a dynamic long-term offensive partnership with Chapman.

The Giants’ power struggles are well-documented, with no player hitting 30 home runs since Bonds in 2004. In contrast, Soto has surpassed that mark in three seasons, including back-to-back years, underscoring his ability to thrive in San Francisco’s traditionally pitcher-friendly environment.

Toronto Blue Jays

Industry analysts highlight the Toronto Blue Jays’ ongoing commitment to contending, despite Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette entering contract years without securing significant postseason success. After falling short in their pursuit of Shohei Ohtani last offseason, experts suggest that trading for Juan Soto from division-rival New York Yankees could help Toronto reassert its presence in the American League East.

Statistical analysis from Statcast indicates that Rogers Centre could amplify Soto’s power numbers relative to his 2024 production at Yankee Stadium. Roster evaluators also note that Soto’s left-handed bat would add much-needed balance to Toronto’s predominantly right-handed lineup.

Financial analysts point to the Blue Jays’ history of pursuing high-profile talent, as seen in their Ohtani talks, but also note recent comments from club president Mark Shapiro about maintaining payroll stability in 2025. Industry insiders argue that the 2024 season is pivotal for the team’s current roster, with mounting pressure potentially driving a bold move in the market.

Washington Nationals

Baseball analysts highlight the complex relationship between Juan Soto and the Washington Nationals, noting his rejection of a 15-year, $440 million extension before being traded to San Diego. However, some industry observers see the potential for an unexpected reunion, citing several factors including Soto’s key role in the team’s 2019 World Series win, the improving trajectory of the organization as prospects develop, and the presence of his younger brother, 18-year-old Elian Soto, within the Nationals’ system.

Roster evaluations show that three key players acquired in the Soto trade — CJ Abrams, James Wood, and MacKenzie Gore — have integrated successfully into the team, with Robert Hassell III nearing major league readiness. Experts suggest that General Manager Mike Rizzo could accelerate the Nationals’ rebuilding efforts by bringing Soto back, forming a strong offensive core alongside Abrams, Wood, Dylan Crews, Luis García Jr., and Keibert Ruiz.

Though analysts acknowledge that the Nationals may initially lag behind division rivals like Philadelphia, New York, and Atlanta, they emphasize that any long-term contract for Soto would align with the team’s developmental timeline. Soto’s prime years could coincide with Washington’s return to competitiveness, setting the stage for sustained success in the future.

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