Yankees-Royals ALDS duel: Breaking down team advantages

Yankee Stadium is decked to host the Yankees vs. Royals ALDS Game 1 on October 5, 2024.
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As the Yankees (94-68) gear up for their ALDS clash with the Royals (86-76), general manager Brian Cashman acknowledges the weight of expectations on the storied franchise. Cashman believes the team has the potential for success but stresses that reaching their goals will require top-level performance in every facet of the game.

“We have a great shot, but we only have a great shot if we play our best baseball,” he said about the Yankees’ chances against the Royals. “I know that we have the capabilities, but at the same time I caution that we’ve had capabilities many times before and you have to match those capabilities with, obviously, great defense, great baserunning, tremendous offensive at-bats against extremely tough pitching, and, obviously, the most important aspect is pitching to the best of your abilities.”

New York’s World Series drought, now the second-longest in club history, has stretched since their last title in 2009. Cashman pointed out that while the team is well-positioned, they need flawless execution in defense, baserunning, hitting, and pitching to get past tough competition.

A key to the Yankees’ resurgence this season, after missing the playoffs last year, was the acquisition of Juan Soto, who significantly boosted their offense. Cashman voiced confidence in the team’s ability to contend but acknowledged the challenge ahead against worthy opponents.

Gerrit Cole, the reigning AL Cy Young winner, will take the mound for New York in Game 1, after overcoming an elbow injury that sidelined him for part of the season. The Royals will counter with veteran Michael Wacha, who has historically held Aaron Judge in check. Despite that, manager Aaron Boone remains confident in Judge’s ability to perform against any pitcher as the series gets underway Saturday in New York.

Yankees vs. Royals ALDS games

Game 1Yankee StadiumSaturday, Oct. 5, 6:38 p.m. ET, TBS/Max
Game 2Yankee StadiumMonday, Oct. 7, 7:38 p.m. ET, TBS/truTV/Max
Game 3Kauffman StadiumWednesday, Oct. 9, Time TBD, TBS/truTV/Max
Game 4Kauffman StadiumThursday, Oct. 10, Time TBD, TBS/truTV/Max (if necessary)
Game 5Yankee StadiumSaturday, Oct. 12, Time TBD, TBS/Max (if necessary)

Yankees vs. Royals: Past and present

The Yankees celebrate after Jazz Chisholm leads them to walk-off win over the Royals at Yankee Stadium on Sept. 11, 2024.
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The storied rivalry between the New York Yankees and Kansas City Royals dates back to the late 1970s, highlighted by memorable matchups in the American League Championship Series. The Yankees captured championships in 1977 and 1978, while the Royals celebrated their first victory in 1980, leading to significant shifts in both organizations, including the dismissal of Dick Howser from the Yankees before he found success with Kansas City.

In the 2024 season, the Yankees gained the upper hand, winning five of their seven encounters with the Royals. The upcoming series presents a formidable challenge for both teams. The Royals enter the postseason fresh off a wild-card win against Baltimore, bolstered by talented players like Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez, along with a solid pitching rotation.

On the other side, the Yankees secured the AL East title and earned a first-round bye. They boast a powerful lineup featuring Aaron Judge and Juan Soto, often likened to legends Babe Ruth and Lou Gehrig. Complementing their star players are contributors like Gleyber Torres, Austin Wells, and Giancarlo Stanton, who has a reputation for stepping up in the postseason.

Judge’s outstanding performance, leading the team in several key statistical categories, underscores the Yankees’ offensive firepower. On the pitching front, they will rely on Cy Young winner Gerrit Cole in Game 1, supported by a strong rotation and bullpen.

Breaking down the matchup: Who holds the advantage and where

Yankees will face the Royals on October 7.
Yankees

The 2024 ALDS features an exciting showdown between the powerful New York Yankees and the revitalized Kansas City Royals. The Yankees, who racked up an impressive 94 wins and led the league with 815 runs scored, face a Royals team that has made a remarkable turnaround, improving from just 56 wins last season to 86 this year. Fresh off a sweep of the Orioles in the Wild Card Series, the Royals enter the ALDS riding a wave of momentum, spearheaded by emerging star Bobby Witt Jr.

The series opener at Yankee Stadium promises a thrilling contest between the Yankees’ formidable lineup, featuring Aaron Judge and Juan Soto, and the Royals’ rejuvenated roster.

In a position-by-position breakdown, the catcher matchup tilts in favor of the Royals. Although Yankees rookie Austin Wells had a solid debut season, his performance waned in September. In contrast, the Royals’ Salvador Perez, a veteran and former World Series MVP, brings significant offensive talent and valuable postseason experience.

At first base, the Yankees are dealing with uncertainty due to Anthony Rizzo’s injury, potentially turning to Ben Rice or Oswaldo Cabrera—both of whom are relatively inexperienced in postseason situations. The Royals are also navigating their own lineup changes, with Vinnie Pasquantino’s return affecting their decisions. While Yuli Gurriel, despite being older, provides essential playoff experience, the Yankees hold a slight edge, depending on how well their substitutes can perform.

Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been the Yankees' standout players in 2024.
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The ALDS matchup between the Yankees and Royals features several intriguing positional battles. At second base, Royals’ Michael Massey has made a strong impression, particularly during the Wild Card Series, giving him a slight advantage over the Yankees’ Gleyber Torres, despite Torres’ postseason experience.

The shortstop comparison heavily favors the Royals with Bobby Witt Jr., who has established himself as a superstar, boasting impressive offensive and defensive numbers. While the Yankees’ Anthony Volpe has shown improvement defensively, he doesn’t match Witt’s overall impact.

At third base, the Yankees hold an advantage with Jazz Chisholm Jr., who has excelled since joining the team. His combination of power, speed, and solid defense surpasses that of the Royals’ Maikel Garcia, despite Garcia’s base-stealing ability.

In left field, both teams have more fluid options. The Royals have been using MJ Melendez, with Tommy Pham available as an alternative. The Yankees can rely on Jasson Domínguez and Alex Verdugo, each providing a blend of offensive potential and defensive reliability.

In center field, the Yankees enjoy a substantial edge with Aaron Judge, a frontrunner for the AL MVP. Judge’s remarkable season includes 58 home runs and a 1.159 OPS, significantly overshadowing the Royals’ Kyle Isbel, despite Isbel’s strong defensive skills.

New York Yankees’ Jazz Chisholm Jr., center left, celebrates with teammates after hitting a walk-off RBI single during the 11th inning of a baseball game against the Kansas City Royals at Yankee Stadium, Wednesday, Sept. 11, 2024, in New York.
AP Photo/Seth Wenig

Right field is another area where the Yankees hold a distinct advantage with Juan Soto, who has thrived since joining the team. His impressive tally of 41 home runs and a .419 on-base percentage highlights his offensive impact. The Royals’ platoon of Tommy Pham and Hunter Renfroe, while versatile, cannot compete with Soto’s offensive production.

The designated hitter matchup presents a more complex comparison. The Royals will look to Vinnie Pasquantino, who has made an impressive return from injury. His solid performance against right-handed pitchers could prove essential. In contrast, the Yankees counter with Giancarlo Stanton, who has experienced a resurgence this season with 27 home runs. Stanton’s postseason experience and power potential give him the upper hand, although Pasquantino offers greater consistency at the plate.

The starting pitching matchup for the ALDS between the Yankees and Royals showcases an intriguing contrast. The Yankees boast a trio of Gerrit Cole, Carlos Rodon, and Luis Gil, with Cole’s postseason experience serving as a valuable asset. However, the Royals may have the edge due to their rotation depth.

Yankees' ace Gerrit Cole is on the mound at Yankee Stadium on August 22, 2024, against Cleveland.
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Cole Ragans and Seth Lugo, both considered potential top-five AL Cy Young candidates, delivered strong performances in the Wild Card Series. Alongside Brady Singer and Michael Wacha, the Royals’ starting rotation recorded the second-best ERA in Major League Baseball during the regular season.

In the bullpen, the Royals have demonstrated notable improvement, particularly during the Wild Card Series, despite a lackluster regular season. The Yankees, on the other hand, maintain a statistical advantage, ranking sixth in MLB with a 3.62 ERA. Key relievers such as Clay Holmes, Luke Weaver, and Tommy Kahnle provide the Yankees with a slight edge in late-game scenarios.

As analysts assess the series outcome, they highlight the potential for pivotal moments. While recognizing the Royals’ strengths, especially with stars like Bobby Witt Jr. and their solid rotation, the Yankees’ lineup featuring Aaron Judge and Juan Soto is viewed as a decisive factor. Predictions lean toward the Yankees winning a tightly contested five-game series.

This analysis underscores the series as a clash between the Yankees’ star power and the Royals’ well-rounded team performance, with both teams poised to impact the outcome through the contributions of key players.

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