Yankees at the center of blockbuster Drama: Will they blink in Padres’ demands to secure Soto?

Juan Soto has been in the spotlight as one of the New York Yankees' main targets during this offseason.
Amanda Paula
Monday December 4, 2023

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In the bustling landscape of the New York Yankees‘ offseason, Juan Soto finds himself at the center of trade speculations, with the fate of his potential move hinging on the unfolding Shohei Ohtani sweepstakes. The latest developments suggest that Soto, one of the sport’s elite hitters, might have to exercise patience as the intricacies of the offseason continue to play out.

Juan Soto’s trade prospects

Juan Soto has been in the spotlight as one of the New York Yankees' main targets during this offseason.

The possibility of Soto being traded gains momentum, indicated by the San Diego Padres’ delay in presenting the anticipated multiyear offer they initially hinted at. Insiders familiar with the Padres’ situation acknowledge that the odds of Soto being traded exceed 50%, a decision influenced by the need to curtail their unexpectedly high $249 million payroll. The recent passing of Padres owner Peter Seidler, known for his unwavering commitment to winning, may have altered the team’s dynamics, making Soto a prime candidate for a blockbuster trade at baseball’s annual Winter Meetings.

However, the current state of the market suggests that even a player of Soto’s caliber might have to bide his time. The attention of baseball enthusiasts is currently riveted on the decisions of two standout figures—Shohei Ohtani, the two-way superstar, and 25-year-old pitching sensation Yoshinobu Yamamoto. Sources indicate that neither Ohtani nor Yamamoto is expected to finalize deals during the Winter Meetings, further elongating the trade talks involving Soto.

Ohtani, reportedly commanding bidding figures surpassing $500 million and potentially approaching the $600 million mark, is believed to be planning meetings with interested teams after the conclusion of the Winter Meetings. Meanwhile, Yamamoto is also anticipated to engage in discussions post-event. This delay in resolving the fates of Ohtani and Yamamoto contributes to the overall stall in the market, impacting players like Soto who await potential moves.

What’s going to happen now?

Juan Soto has been in the spotlight as one of the New York Yankees' main targets during this offseason.

The New York Yankees have been prominently involved in the discussions regarding Soto, but negotiations hit a roadblock when the Padres insisted on a package deal, including reliever-turned-starter Michael King and pitching prospect Drew Thorpe. The Yankees, expressing reluctance to part with both King and Thorpe, have created a standoff, with compromises seeming elusive.

The Padres reportedly have offers from about five teams for Soto, but the market is constrained by his anticipated arbitration salary of $32 million and the unlikelihood of a swift deal with an acquiring team. Adding complexity to the situation is the fact that two of the interested teams are believed to be finalists for Ohtani—namely, the Blue Jays and Giants—posing financial challenges for organizations capable of taking on both Soto and Ohtani.

As for Yamamoto, interest from major market teams is widespread, making it clear that time is needed to navigate through the extensive field of potential suitors. The resolution of these intricate negotiations is unlikely to occur during the Winter Meetings, leaving fans and insiders alike eagerly anticipating the next chapter in this dynamic offseason saga.

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